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The Daily Carnage

may 5, 2026

Brand Amnesia 🤪

AI brand recos are chaotic.

Be in The Know

šŸ“ˆ Reddit’s ad business reported a 69% YOY revenue increase in Q1.

āœˆļø A Spirit Airlines fan has launched Spirit 2.0, a crowdsourcing effort to buy the airline.

šŸŽ§ Spotify identifies human creators with ā€œverifiedā€ checkmarks.

šŸ¤– Data: Gartner finds 40% of agentic AI projects will fail.

šŸ“Š Report: Google Ads CTR is rising, but conversions remain flat.

šŸŽ“ Syracuse University launches Creator Economy minor.

AI Gives Inconsistent Brand Recommendations

New research from SparkToro highlights a huge AI misconception: While we tend to think of tools like ChatGPT as consistent ā€œanswer engines,ā€ they actually behave more like probabilistic generators.

In controlled experiments with nearly 3,000 responses, identical prompts rarely produced the same list of brand or product recommendations (less than 1% of the time) and almost never in the same order.

We’re used to traditional SEO, which assumes stable rankings. But AI outputs appear to show variability in three dimensions: which brands appear, how many are listed, and how they’re ordered. So, ā€œtracking your positionā€ inside AI responses is pretty much meaningless. It’s not fixed.

But while rankings are chaotic, brands that consistently show up, regardless of position, are more strongly associated with a given intent in the model’s training and retrieval patterns.

Here’s what to know:

  • AI recommendations are non-deterministic. The same query yields different outputs almost every time.
  • Rank tracking is unreliable, as order and inclusion constantly change.
  • Prompt diversity amplifies chaos. Users phrase the same intent in wildly different ways.
  • Visibility share (frequency of mentions) is a more defensible metric than rank.
  • AI tools reflect association, not endorsement. They predict likely mentions, not ā€œbestā€ choices.
  • Marketers should demand transparent methodologies from AI tracking vendors.

Head to SparkToro for a closer look at the numbers.

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Don’t miss the latest episode of The Daily Carnage Show, ā€œThe Future of Google Search,ā€ to learn more about Google’s plans to replace the search box with 24/7 AI-powered information agents and interactive ā€œGenerative UIā€ that builds mini-apps and custom widgets directly on your results page.

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Plus, catch up on Season 2:

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Weigh in on The Daily Carnage Subreddit:

  • The Daily Carnage Show Ep 2.9 Discussion: ā€œIf AI agents become the primary interface to knowledge, what happens to the humans and businesses that knowledge originally came from? What does it mean for the internet to quietly transition from an open ecosystem of destinations into a closed ecosystem of gate-kept answers? Are we speeding toward a future where people stop visiting the web directly? If that behavior ends, we ever be able to rebuild it?ā€
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Ads From the Past

Ads from The Past

General Electric, 1950s

General Electric, 1950s

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